# Isolated Severe Storms Possible Thursday Afternoon From Philadelphia to New York City

Published November 11, 2026, 12:47 PM ET  
By Ryan Hall, Y'all  
Written by our automated news desk from National Weather Service data.

A Level 1 of 5 (Marginal Risk) for severe storms covers Philadelphia, Newark, New York City and nearby parts of Pennsylvania, New Jersey and New York on Thursday, Nov. 12. A cold front could set off a few strong storms in the afternoon, with gusts up to 60 mph and quarter-sized hail possible in one or two of them. More than 23 million people live in the risk area, but most places will not see a severe storm.

## Key points

- **Timing:** Storms should fire up Thursday afternoon, Eastern time, as a cold front sweeps across the Mid-Atlantic. Behind the front, calmer and more stable air moves in.
- **What could happen:** A strong storm could bring gusts of 60 mph or more and quarter-sized hail. No tornado risk is outlined.
- Why it stays low-end: The air is cool, around 60 degrees at the surface, so there isn't much storm fuel. Winds higher up are strong, though, which is why a stray storm can still get gusty.
- **What to do:** Most folks just need to keep an eye on the sky. Move the patio furniture and cars if you're near a stronger cell, and sign up for Y'all Alerts so a warning reaches your phone.

![Map of the severe storm outlook for tomorrow, Thursday, November 12, highest risk Level 1 of 5 across New Jersey, Pennsylvania, New York](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-11-news-severe-day2-map-1730.png)

A few thunderstorms on Thursday afternoon, Nov. 12, could turn severe from Philadelphia through New Jersey to New York City, with gusts up to 60 mph and quarter-sized hail possible. It's a Level 1 of 5 (Marginal Risk), the lowest step on the scale, so only one or two storms may turn severe.

## What to know

![Zoomed map of the severe storm outlook over New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York for tomorrow, Thursday, November 12](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-11-news-severe-day2-zoom1-1730.png "Severe weather outlook for tomorrow, Thursday, November 12, closer look at New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York. Issued 12:30 PM ET Wednesday. Ryan Hall, Y'all")

- **Timing:** Storms should fire up Thursday afternoon, Eastern time, as a cold front sweeps across the Mid-Atlantic. Behind the front, calmer and more stable air moves in.
- **What could happen:** A strong storm could bring gusts of 60 mph or more and quarter-sized hail. No tornado risk is outlined.
- **Why it stays low-end:** The air is cool, around 60 degrees at the surface, so there isn't much storm fuel. Winds higher up are strong, though, which is why a stray storm can still get gusty.
- **What to do:** Most folks just need to keep an eye on the sky. Move the patio furniture and cars if you're near a stronger cell, and sign up for [Y'all Alerts](/alerts) so a warning reaches your phone.

A front and scattered storms are expected, but only one or two may turn severe.

Track the latest outlooks on our [severe storm page](/severe).

Explained: [What the severe storm risk levels mean, Level 1 to Level 5](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/what-the-severe-storm-risk-levels-mean)

More on: [Mid-Atlantic severe weather, November 2026](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/topic/mid-atlantic-severe-weather-november-2026)

Places in this story: Philadelphia, PA; New York City, NY; Newark, NJ; Newark, NY

## Sources

- [SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook](https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html), NOAA Storm Prediction Center, issued November 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

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From Ryan Hall, Y'all (https://ryanhallyall.com). Always follow official warnings from the National Weather Service.