# Level 2 flash flood risk holds in South Texas until 6 AM Central Monday

Published November 7, 2026, 7:01 PM ET · Updated November 8, 2026, 9:01 PM ET  
By Ryan Hall, Y'all  
Written by our automated news desk from National Weather Service data.

The official Level 2 of 4 flash flood risk stays up for South Texas and the Edwards Plateau through 6 AM Central Monday, though the heaviest rain has shifted offshore from far South Texas. Monday is Level 1 of 4, with leftover downpours near the coast until about noon Central. A narrow zone could still pick up 2 to 4 inches, which could bring a targeted upgrade.

**What's new:** Level 2 maintained through 6 AM Central Monday, trimmed back over far South Texas; Monday still Level 1 with a possible upgrade

## Key points

- **Where:** Coastal South Texas from around Corpus Christi south toward Brownsville, plus the Edwards Plateau to the north. Some territory over far South Texas was trimmed out of the Level 2 area.
- **When:** Level 2 runs through 6 AM Central Monday. Monday's Level 1 lasts through the morning, and the rain fades after about noon Central.
- **What:** Some places east of Laredo to near Kingsville have already topped 5 inches. Parts of the Edwards Plateau picked up as much as 3.5 inches in 24 hours, and flooding has already been reported there. Monday brings another half inch to an inch on average.
- **What it means:** Flash flooding is possible wherever heavy rain falls on ground that can't hold any more.

![Zoomed map of the flash flood outlook over Texas for today, Sunday, November 8](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-08-news-flood-day1-zoom1-map-0048.png)

*Updated 9:00 PM ET Sunday: Level 2 maintained through 6 AM Central Monday, trimmed back over far South Texas; Monday still Level 1 with a possible upgrade.*


South Texas and the Edwards Plateau remain under a Level 2 of 4 (Slight) flash flood risk until 6 AM Central Monday, maintained in this evening's update. The heaviest rain has shifted offshore from far South Texas, but the threat continues along and near the coast and farther north, where the ground is already soaked. Monday is a Level 1 of 4 (Marginal) day, with leftover downpours near the coast until about noon Central.

## Tonight: the heaviest rain moves offshore, the risk stays put near the coast

![Zoomed map of the flash flood outlook over Texas for today, Sunday, November 8](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-08-news-flood-day1-zoom1-0048.png "Flash flood outlook for today, Sunday, November 8, closer look at Texas. Issued 7:48 PM ET Sunday. Ryan Hall, Y'all")

Earlier today, a stubborn line of storms sat from near Brownsville north to Corpus Christi. The heaviest rain from that line has now largely shifted out over the Gulf, and the heaviest rainfall rates are expected to stay offshore for the rest of the night. That's why the far southern end of the Level 2 area was cut back.

The risk stays along and near the coast because storms can still drift west and inland. We can't rule out a cluster moving onto land.

Farther north, the Edwards Plateau still has showers. Rain rates there have eased to half an inch an hour or less, but that rain is falling where earlier totals were high and where flooding has already been reported. That overlap is why the Level 2 stays.

Much of the area east of Laredo to near Kingsville has already taken more than 2 inches, with some spots over 5. Even moderate rain on that ground runs off fast.

We're confident the risk stays up through the night. Which neighborhoods get the heaviest cores is something we can't pin down hours ahead. Two alerts are active this evening: a Flash Flood Warning that runs until midnight Central, and a Coastal Flood Advisory for minor coastal flooding in Aransas, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio, Refugio and Calhoun Counties until 3 AM Central Tuesday. Check [active warnings](/warnings) for the latest.

## Monday morning: leftover downpours, then a break

Rain should linger Monday morning south and southeast of I-10, including the coastal plain around Corpus Christi and down toward Brownsville. Models generally show another half inch to an inch on average.

A narrow zone just inland of the coast could do much better. Some short-range model runs show a focused line of storms setting up between Brownsville and Corpus Christi, with 2 to 4 inches or more on top of what falls tonight. That is the uncertain part. If it holds together overnight, Monday's risk could be raised to Level 2 for a small area near the coast. For now it stays Level 1.

After about noon Central, the air loses its storm fuel and the rain fades. Tuesday has no flash flood risk outlined.

## What to do

- **Don't drive through water over the road.** Turn around, especially tonight, when you can't judge depth in the dark.
- **Plan extra time Monday morning** along the coast from Corpus Christi to Brownsville. Check the [interstate driving outlook](/interstates) before you head out.
- **Move your car** out of low-water crossings, underpasses and spots that flood easily.
- **Keep alerts on.** Follow our [flash flood outlook](/excessive-rainfall) for updates overnight, or sign up for free [Y'all Alerts](/alerts).

## Bottom line

South Texas stays at Level 2 for flash flooding until 6 AM Central Monday, mostly because the ground is already saturated. Monday eases to Level 1 with leftover coastal downpours, and a small upgrade is possible if the heavier rain shows up near the coast.

Explained: [What the flash flood risk levels mean, from Level 1 to Level 4](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/what-the-flash-flood-risk-levels-mean), [Flood Advisory, Watch, Warning and Flash Flood Warning explained](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/flash-flood-warning-vs-flood-warning-and-flood-watch)

More on: [South Texas flooding, November 2026](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/topic/south-texas-flooding-november-2026)

## Sources

- [WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php), NOAA Weather Prediction Center, issued November 8, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

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From Ryan Hall, Y'all (https://ryanhallyall.com). Always follow official warnings from the National Weather Service.
