# Level 2 flash flood risk on the Texas coast Sunday; north-central Texas storms tonight Published November 14, 2026, 6:01 AM ET By Ryan Hall, Y'all Written by our automated news desk from National Weather Service data. On Sunday, Nov. 15, the upper and central Texas coast has a Level 2 of 4 (Slight) flash flood risk, and a few storms could turn severe. Storms and heavy rain move through north-central Texas tonight, Saturday, Nov. 14, with a Level 1 of 4 flash flood risk. A freeze spreads from the Mid-Atlantic to the Lower Mississippi Valley into Sunday morning, and the Pacific Northwest stays wet. **What's new:** Sunday's Texas coast flash flood risk is Level 2 of 4, while the Friday evening edition covered only tonight's Level 1 risk in north-central Texas. ## Key points - **North-central Texas, tonight (Central time):** Storms and heavy rain form as a low pressure center develops, with a Level 1 of 4 flood risk that reaches into Oklahoma. Expect slick roads and possible delays around Dallas-Fort Worth overnight. - **Texas coast, Sunday:** Level 2 of 4 flash flood risk from the Houston area down toward Corpus Christi. Don't drive through water over the road, especially in cities. - **Olympic Peninsula and northwest Washington, today:** Another round of atmospheric river rain, 1 to 3 inches, with a Level 1 of 4 flood risk. Localized flash flooding is possible. - **Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Lower Mississippi Valley, tonight into Sunday morning:** Freeze and frost. Cover tender plants and bring pets in. - **Interior Northeast, today:** Lingering mountain snow, with a Marginal risk of winter weather impacts. ![Map of the excessive rainfall and flash flood outlook for tomorrow, Sunday, November 15, highest risk Level 2 of 4 over Texas](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-14-daily-flood-day2-map-0801.png) On Sunday, Nov. 15, from 6 AM Sunday to 6 AM Monday Central, the upper and central Texas coast has a Level 2 of 4 (Slight) flash flood risk, and a few storms could also turn severe. Storms and heavy rain move through north-central Texas tonight, Saturday, Nov. 14, with a Level 1 of 4 (Marginal) flash flood risk. Farther east, a freeze spreads from the Mid-Atlantic into the Lower Mississippi Valley through Sunday morning. ## Flash flood risk climbs along the Texas coast Sunday ![Map of the excessive rainfall and flash flood outlook for tomorrow, Sunday, November 15, highest risk Level 2 of 4 over Texas](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-14-daily-flood-day2-0801.png "Flash flood outlook for tomorrow, Sunday, November 15. Issued 3:01 AM ET Saturday. Ryan Hall, Y'all") Tonight comes first. A disturbance crossing the Rockies links up with another one from the south, and a low pressure center develops over Texas overnight. Storms follow, and showers and a few thunderstorms may still be rolling from north-central Texas into southwestern Oklahoma early Sunday. Then the focus shifts to the coast. Gulf moisture streams in Sunday, and storms can repeat over the same spots. The wettest rain may stay offshore, but the signs are growing that problem rainfall reaches inland. Cities are a main worry, along with places that picked up 1.5 to 4 inches during the past week. We don't have a rain total to give you yet. How far inland the worst of it reaches is still unsettled. A few storms Sunday could also turn severe. The Storm Prediction Center has a Level 1 of 5 (Marginal) risk across the Texas coastal plain and central and south Texas, including Houston, San Antonio, Corpus Christi, Brownsville and McAllen. The odds are low: 2 percent for a tornado, 5 percent for damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or more, and 5 percent for hail an inch or bigger. Keep an eye on the sky and your phone. What to do: if you're on the coast Sunday, plan indoor backups and leave extra time on the roads. We covered this setup earlier in [Level 2 flash flood risk for the Texas coast Sunday](/news/level-2-flash-flood-risk-for-texas-sunday-with-storms-starting-saturday-night). Our [flash flood outlook](/excessive-rainfall) has the latest map. The flood risk drops away Monday. ## Freeze and frost spread east into Sunday morning Cold air keeps moving into the Mid-Atlantic, the Southeast and the Lower Mississippi Valley. Freeze and frost conditions are expected in parts of the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Lower Mississippi Valley tonight into early Sunday. Protect plants, drip outdoor faucets if you're in a warning area, and don't leave pets outside overnight. ## Snow lingers in the Northeast mountains, and the Pacific Northwest stays wet ![Map of the Ryan Hall, Y'all winter storm outlook for today, Saturday, November 14](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-14-daily-winter-day1-0920.png "Winter storm outlook for today, Saturday, November 14. Issued 4:20 AM ET Saturday. Ryan Hall, Y'all") A deep trough over the East is slowly lifting out. It leaves a Marginal risk of winter weather impacts in portions of the interior Northeast today, with a similar risk across portions of the Northeast and central Appalachians Sunday. Higher elevations are the places to watch for slick roads, and lower valleys mostly see rain. Out West, an atmospheric river keeps feeding rain into the Pacific Northwest and West Coast through the weekend, with mountain snow at higher elevations. High Surf Warnings are in effect from Washington to Santa Barbara. Stay off beach rocks and jetties. ## Where the weather is great ![Map of where the weather is nicest across the country for tomorrow, Sunday, November 15](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-14-daily-nice-day2-0633.png "Nice Weather outlook for tomorrow, Sunday, November 15. Issued 1:33 AM ET Saturday. Ryan Hall, Y'all") Today's best weather is in California's San Joaquin Valley and the nearby central coast, with light wind, low humidity and mostly clear skies. Sunday, the best air shifts to southeastern Arizona, southwestern New Mexico, the Big Bend of Texas and southeastern California. Much of the Plains, Midwest and East stays cool, with highs in the 40s and 50s. Check the [Nice Weather outlook](/nice) before you plan outdoor time. ## Looking ahead Monday stays quiet for severe storms and flooding, with Marginal winter impacts in the Cascades and higher Intermountain West. Starting Tuesday, Nov. 17, multiple rounds of mountain snow target the Sierra, Cascades, Intermountain West and Rockies, so check our [winter storm outlook](/winter) if you're headed over a pass. Warmer-than-normal air builds across the north-central U.S. ahead of those systems. There is also G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm potential on Nov. 17 and 18. ## Bottom line The biggest change for the most people is Sunday on the Texas coast, so don't drive into water over the road there, and plan for rain across Houston, San Antonio and Corpus Christi. Tonight, protect plants and pets from the freeze if you're in the Southeast or Mid-Atlantic. More on: [Texas flooding, November 2026](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/topic/texas-flooding-november-2026) Places in this story: Dallas-Fort Worth, TX; Houston, TX; Corpus Christi, TX ## Sources - [WPC Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php), NOAA Weather Prediction Center, issued November 14, 2026, 3:01 AM ET - [Ryan Hall, Y'all winter storm outlook, day 1 (our own outlook)](https://ryanhallyall.com/winter), Ryan Hall, Y'all, issued November 14, 2026, 4:20 AM ET - [WPC Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI)](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wssi/wssi.php), NOAA Weather Prediction Center - [Ryan Hall, Y'all Nice Weather outlook (our own outlook)](https://ryanhallyall.com/nice), Ryan Hall, Y'all, issued November 14, 2026, 1:33 AM ET --- Canonical: https://ryanhallyall.com/news/level-2-flash-flood-risk-on-the-texas-coast-sunday-north-central-texas-storms-tonight From Ryan Hall, Y'all (https://ryanhallyall.com). Always follow official warnings from the National Weather Service.