# South Texas Flood Risk Eases Monday Evening; Cold Front Brings 20s Friday

Published November 9, 2026, 8:46 AM ET · Updated November 9, 2026, 9:32 AM ET  
By Ryan Hall, Y'all  
Written by our automated news desk from YallBot's video.

South Texas is still soaked after record rain Sunday, with a Level 2 of 4 flash flood risk today that fades by evening. Most of the country stays warm through Tuesday, then a cold front drops lows into the 20s from Minneapolis to Nashville on Friday night.

**What's new:** Adds the warm start to the week, Friday's cold front, Seattle's rain and Florida's river flooding.

## Key points

- YallBot's forecast points out that one sensor near Alice caught 9.69 inches Sunday, most of it between 4 AM and 6 PM. That beat the 7 to 9 inches YallBot called for. Corpus Christi's airport got 3.24 inches, more than double the 1.47-inch record from 1987. Brownsville's 3.65 inches broke a 1930 record, and McAllen and Del Rio also set records. US 281 between Alice and Premont closed Sunday, and a 
- YallBot says most of the country stays warm today and Tuesday, with Omaha near 70 and Atlanta near 72 today, and Nashville near 71 on Tuesday. Havre, Montana, hit 71 on Sunday, breaking a 1930 record, and Helena's 69 broke a 1939 mark. In YallBot's window poll, 72 people answered: 52 closed windows, 17 opened them and 3 did something else.
- YallBot's forecast then points to a cold front. Many people will see temperatures fall by Friday evening, with lows in the 20s from Minneapolis to Nashville on Friday night. In Tazewell, Tennessee, the forecast calls for rain Thursday and a low around 29 Friday night, with no snow. Snow is possible Friday in the mountains, including Snowshoe, West Virginia. The models still disagree on amounts, so
- Out West, YallBot says Seattle sees rain every day through Sunday except Wednesday, when it climbs to around 65. The heaviest precipitation falls tonight and overnight, with snow high in the Cascades.
- YallBot's forecast also covers the St. Johns River near Cocoa, Florida. It read 16.98 feet at 5 AM, just short of the 17 feet forecast Saturday. The new forecast has it at 17.1 by Tuesday morning and holding all week. At 17.2 feet, water starts entering homes near Lake Poinsett, west of Cocoa.

![Thumbnail of YallBot's video: It Doubled The RECORD...](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-09-news-video-9X6Nl3gECyQ-1318.png)

Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9X6Nl3gECyQ

In today's YallBot forecast, South Texas is still dealing with heavy rain on ground that is already full, and the flash flood threat should ease by Monday evening. The video also follows a warm start to the week across most of the country, then a cold front that sends lows into the 20s from Minneapolis to Nashville on Friday night.

## What YallBot's forecast covered

- YallBot's forecast points out that one sensor near Alice caught 9.69 inches Sunday, most of it between 4 AM and 6 PM. That beat the 7 to 9 inches YallBot called for. Corpus Christi's airport got 3.24 inches, more than double the 1.47-inch record from 1987. Brownsville's 3.65 inches broke a 1930 record, and McAllen and Del Rio also set records. US 281 between Alice and Premont closed Sunday, and a flooded creek in Edwards County led to a rescue Sunday night.
- YallBot says most of the country stays warm today and Tuesday, with Omaha near 70 and Atlanta near 72 today, and Nashville near 71 on Tuesday. Havre, Montana, hit 71 on Sunday, breaking a 1930 record, and Helena's 69 broke a 1939 mark. In YallBot's window poll, 72 people answered: 52 closed windows, 17 opened them and 3 did something else.
- YallBot's forecast then points to a cold front. Many people will see temperatures fall by Friday evening, with lows in the 20s from Minneapolis to Nashville on Friday night. In Tazewell, Tennessee, the forecast calls for rain Thursday and a low around 29 Friday night, with no snow. Snow is possible Friday in the mountains, including Snowshoe, West Virginia. The models still disagree on amounts, so there is no snowfall map yet.
- Out West, YallBot says Seattle sees rain every day through Sunday except Wednesday, when it climbs to around 65. The heaviest precipitation falls tonight and overnight, with snow high in the Cascades.
- YallBot's forecast also covers the St. Johns River near Cocoa, Florida. It read 16.98 feet at 5 AM, just short of the 17 feet forecast Saturday. The new forecast has it at 17.1 by Tuesday morning and holding all week. At 17.2 feet, water starts entering homes near Lake Poinsett, west of Cocoa.

## What the official flood outlook says

There is a Level 2 of 4 (Slight Risk) for flash flooding today, from just southwest of Corpus Christi down toward Brownsville. The heaviest rain comes this morning. The threat fades through the afternoon and evening as the setup moves on.

The ground is the problem. Some spots took 4 to 9 inches in the last 24 hours, and near Kingsville totals reached 5 to 10 inches. Slow storms can park over the same area for several hours. A coastal flood advisory also runs until 3 AM Central Tuesday for coastal Aransas, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio, Refugio and Calhoun counties. No flash flood risk is outlined for Tuesday or Wednesday.

Our winter outlook shows wet snow Thursday night into Friday on the higher terrain of West Virginia, western Pennsylvania, upstate New York and northern New England. Several inches are possible on the ridges, while lower elevations get mostly cold rain.

Check the [flash flood outlook](/excessive-rainfall), the [winter storm outlook](/winter) and [live warnings](/warnings) before you travel, and don't drive through water over the road. As YallBot put it, "If there is water on the road, turn around."

For the thermostat results and the full cold front breakdown, watch YallBot's full video above.

More on: [Southeast flooding, November 2026](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/topic/southeast-flooding-november-2026)

Places in this story: Corpus Christi, TX; Brownsville, TX; McAllen, TX; Phoenix, AZ; San Diego, CA; Fort Lauderdale, FL; Omaha, NE; Atlanta, GA; Nashville, TN

## Sources

- [YallBot video: It Doubled The RECORD](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9X6Nl3gECyQ), YallBot, issued November 9, 2026, 8:18 AM ET

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Canonical: https://ryanhallyall.com/news/south-texas-rain-records-fall-sunday-flood-risk-eases-monday-evening
From Ryan Hall, Y'all (https://ryanhallyall.com). Always follow official warnings from the National Weather Service.
