# Weekend Forecast Nov. 13-15: Cold East, Sierra blizzard Friday, wet Northwest Published November 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET By Ryan Hall, Y'all Written by our automated news desk from National Weather Service data. Cold air takes over the eastern half of the country this weekend, with Saturday, Nov. 14, highs mostly in the low 50s from the central Plains to the Southeast and a freeze reaching the Deep South by Saturday morning. Out West, a Pacific storm brings heavy rain and Sierra Nevada blizzard conditions Friday, then 1 to 3 inches of rain on Washington's Olympic Peninsula Saturday. No severe storms are expected Friday or Saturday, and Sunday storm chances in Texas are still low confidence. **What's new:** The Mid-Atlantic severe threat winds down overnight; the weekend turns cold in the East, with a Level 1 of 4 flood risk for Washington Saturday and possible Texas storms Sunday. ## Key points - **East:** Cold, dry and breezy behind today's coastal storm. Saturday highs run mostly in the low 50s across the central Plains, Midwest and Southeast. - **Friday, Nov. 13:** Wet snow of 4 inches or more is likely in the Catskills, Adirondacks and Green Mountains. Michigan's Upper Peninsula could see over 12 inches of lake-effect snow in spots. - **West:** Heavy rain and strong wind hit California and the Northwest Friday. Northern Sierra snow could fall at 1 to 3 inches an hour. - **Saturday:** 1 to 3 inches of rain, locally more, on the Olympic Peninsula, with a Level 1 of 4 (Marginal) flash flood risk. - **Sunday, Nov. 15:** A new Pacific system arrives in the Northwest. Storms are possible in south and central Texas, but confidence is low. ![Map of the Ryan Hall, Y'all winter storm outlook for tomorrow, Friday, November 13](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-12-weekend-winter-day2-map-1728.png) Cold air takes over the eastern half of the country this weekend, with highs mostly in the low 50s from the central Plains to the Southeast on Saturday, Nov. 14, and a freeze reaching the Deep South by Saturday morning. Out West, a Pacific storm brings heavy rain and blizzard conditions to the Sierra Nevada on Friday, Nov. 13, then another 1 to 3 inches of rain to Washington's Olympic Peninsula on Saturday. The Mid-Atlantic severe threat winds down overnight, and no severe storms are expected Friday or Saturday. Details for Saturday and Sunday can still shift. ## Tonight into Friday ![Map of the Ryan Hall, Y'all winter storm outlook for tomorrow, Friday, November 13](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-12-weekend-winter-day2-1728.png "Winter storm outlook for tomorrow, Friday, November 13. Issued 12:28 PM ET Thursday. Ryan Hall, Y'all") The coastal storm pulls away from the Northeast tonight, and colder air wraps in behind it. Rain turns to wet snow over the Poconos, Catskills, Adirondacks, Berkshires and the mountains of Vermont and New Hampshire. The Catskills, Adirondacks and Green Mountains have a 50 to 80 percent chance of at least 4 inches. Valleys depend on how hard it falls, and some will stay rain or a slushy mix. Wet snow can load tree limbs, so expect slick roads and isolated tree damage at elevation. Our [winter storm outlook](/winter) has the Friday risk areas. Snow also stacks up on the higher ground of West Virginia and the central Appalachians, where there's a 40 to 60 percent chance of 4 inches or more in favored spots. Our [interstate outlook](/interstates) rates I-80 Hazardous for Friday and puts I-81, I-90, I-5 and I-65 at Use Caution, so check conditions before any mountain drive. In the West, the Pacific storm is the main event. Gusts near 66 mph are possible around Reno and near 48 mph in San Francisco. Heavy rain falls across northern California, western Oregon and western Washington. Sierra passes can see blizzard conditions. ## Saturday ![Zoomed map of the flash flood outlook over Washington for Saturday, November 14](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-12-weekend-flood-day3-zoom1-0744.png "Flash flood outlook for Saturday, November 14, closer look at Washington. Issued 2:44 AM ET Thursday. Ryan Hall, Y'all") The Deep South gets its freeze early Saturday, and widespread frost reaches into the Southeast. Our [freeze story for Birmingham and the Deep South](/news/freeze-reaches-north-alabama-and-north-georgia-by-saturday-morning) has the details. Bring in tender plants Friday evening. Daytime is dry, with highs in the low 50s from Kansas City to Atlanta, and the wind eases from Friday. It's a jacket day for football, tailgates and the Inquirer Food Festival in Philadelphia, where the storm will be long gone. Lake-effect rain and snow continues downwind of the Great Lakes into Sunday. Snow also spreads into the southern and central Rockies. On the Olympic Peninsula, the atmospheric river brings another 1 to 3 inches of rain, locally more, with most of it in about 12 hours before a cold front Saturday night into Sunday morning. The Skokomish River is already running high, so it could spill over its banks, and some flooding could be quick. Plan on skipping low riverside roads and campsites there. See the [flash flood outlook](/excessive-rainfall). ## Sunday A strong Pacific trough moves into the Northwest, dropping snow levels and putting moderate snow in the Cascades, Klamath Mountains and northern Sierra. Snow spreads into northern Idaho and western Montana late Sunday into Monday. Forecast confidence is high on this timing. The East stays cold and dry, with a few lake-effect flurries lingering downwind of the Great Lakes. A disturbance crosses the southern Plains, and storms could develop in south and central Texas toward the lower Texas coast, with isolated damaging gusts possible. That is the shakiest part of the weekend forecast. If you have outdoor plans there, check back Saturday. ## Best bets ![Map of where the weather is nicest across the country for tomorrow, Friday, November 13](https://public.yallsoft.app/rhy/blog/images/2026-11-12-weekend-nice-day2-1732.png "Nice Weather outlook for tomorrow, Friday, November 13. Issued 12:32 PM ET Thursday. Ryan Hall, Y'all") - **South-central and west-central Texas, Friday:** Warm, dry and light wind, one of the best days in the country. Plan the patio, the hike or the game. - **Southern California and west-central Arizona, Friday:** The same dry, comfortable setup, well south of the Pacific storm to the north. - **The Southwest desert and High Plains, Sunday:** Dry air keeps this the nicest region of the country Sunday. See our [Nice Weather outlook](/nice) for city rankings. Saturday has no standout. The best the country gets is a cool, dry, "fair" day across the central Plains, Midwest and Southeast. ## Bottom line Dress warm in the East, cover the plants in the South, and leave extra time on mountain roads Friday. If you're near the Olympic Peninsula's rivers or in Texas on Sunday, check the forecast again Saturday. More on: [Texas winter weather, November 2026](https://ryanhallyall.com/news/topic/texas-winter-weather-november-2026) ## Sources - [WPC Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php), NOAA Weather Prediction Center, issued November 12, 2026, 2:44 AM ET - [Ryan Hall, Y'all winter storm outlook, day 2 (our own outlook)](https://ryanhallyall.com/winter), Ryan Hall, Y'all, issued November 12, 2026, 12:28 PM ET - [WPC Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI)](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wssi/wssi.php), NOAA Weather Prediction Center - [Ryan Hall, Y'all Nice Weather outlook (our own outlook)](https://ryanhallyall.com/nice), Ryan Hall, Y'all, issued November 12, 2026, 12:32 PM ET --- Canonical: https://ryanhallyall.com/news/weekend-forecast-nov-13-15-cold-east-sierra-blizzard-friday-wet-northwest From Ryan Hall, Y'all (https://ryanhallyall.com). Always follow official warnings from the National Weather Service.